Eagles vs. Patriots odds: Live, Stream, Free, Tickets NFL Super Bowl 2018
Galin Dragiev is on a piping hot run in NFL picks and just locked in a play for the Super Bowl title game
The Over-Under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 45.5, down from an open of 47.
Before you lock in any picks for Eagles-Patriots, you need to see what Galin Dragiev has to say.
Last week, Dragiev told SportsLine readers to back New England -13.5 over Tennessee, saying that the game would “get ugly quickly.” Sure enough, the Patriots built a 21-7 halftime lead en route to a 21-point demolition.
Part of his success: Dragiev, a daily fantasy sports specialist, learned early on to predict the outcome of the game before determining how success trickles down to individual players, so he spent more time studying team outcomes than projecting individual players. When it comes to predictions, he trusts numbers above all else.
Eagles RB Leonard Fournette, despite missing a portion of last week’s game with an ankle injury, piled up 109 yards rushing and three touchdowns against the Steelers. He’s topped 100 yards from scrimmage three of the last five weeks and scored five times during that span.
Strikingly, that improved Dragiev to 16-4 in his past 20 NFL picks, a stunning 80 percent cash rate. Anyone who has followed his advice is up big.
Now, he has examined every angle, every matchup and every trend in Eagles vs. Patriots and locked in his pick. You can only see it over at SportsLine.
Dragiev knows the Eagles rely on defense and running the ball, both of which could help them stay within a spread that’s approaching double-digits.
Defensively, the Eagles were second in scoring defense (16.8 points per game) and No. 1 against the pass (169.9 yards per game) by a wide margin.
But just because the Eagles can run the ball and play tough defense doesn’t mean they’ll keep it close against Tom Brady’s Pats in Foxborough, Massachusetts.
Even if the Patriots are stymied through the air, they’ve been able to run effectively. Dion Lewis had 141 yards from scrimmage against the Titans, 133 against the Jets in Week 17 and 153 against the Bills in Week 16. He had 20 catches over that span.
The Patriots will also likely get running back Rex Burkhead (knee) back from injury. Burkhead has six touchdowns in his past four games and gives New England another versatile player out of the backfield in the AFC title game. He has been sidelined since Dec. 17 and practiced on Thursday after being limited on Wednesday.
It’s no surprise that Dragiev is leaning Under, but he knows there’s a critical x-factor that determines which side of Eagles-Patriots you need to be all over. He’s only sharing his strong pick over at SportsLine.
Brady will also continue to look the direction of James White, who had 11 rushing yards and a TD against the Titans and added four catches and another score. White missed Weeks 16 and 17 with an ankle injury before returning last week.